Talk:Magic Beanstalk/@comment-26593304-20170127041132/@comment-4024597-20170328155623

Let's assume you made it to turn 15 or so, and I'll guess you drew 20 cards before the first Magic Beanstalk (through Flourish maybe? also excluding superpowers). You have 36 cards left, 16 of which are Magic Beanstalks. The chance of drawing 4 consecutive Magic Beanstalk is:

16/36 * 15/35 * 14/34 * 13/33 = 3.0897%

Which means if you somehow do this 100 times, there'll be about 3 games where you manage to destroy The Smash in one (4?) hit.